Senthiq
Methodology

No black box. This is how we compute results.

From a persona's text answer to a score with a confidence interval — every step is documented and deterministic. This is the math behind Senthiq.

Semantic scoring · SSR

How a score emerges from a text answer

The model doesn't guess the score. The persona answers in text — and the number is derived by deterministic math: an embedding, comparison against scale anchors and a probability distribution.

01  ANSWER
The persona answers in text
P-022 · panel N=50
“It caught my attention, but at this price I'd still hesitate.”
no direct number from the model
02  EMBEDDING
Text becomes a vector of meaning
[ 0.12 −0.08 0.31 … ]
embedding model · meaning vector of the answer
03  SCALE ANCHORS
Comparison against reference statements
“I would definitely buy”
0.31
“Probably yes, but…”
0.74
“Probably not”
0.42
cosine similarity to every scale level
04  DISTRIBUTION
Similarities → probabilities
2%
definitely
77%
probably yes
21%
probably not
normalisation into a probability distribution
05  PANEL SCORE
Weighted mean + confidence
3.9 / 5*
confidence 0.86
aggregation across the panel · confidence interval

*Illustrative values. The score is derived deterministically from the meaning of the answer — more stable and more robust to question phrasing than a number guessed by the model.

Around the score

What else keeps the results honest

Weighted aggregation

The panel is not a plain average

Every persona carries a weight matching its share of the target population. The panel score is a weighted mean of individual answer distributions — minority segments don't vanish into the majority.

Confidence interval

Every score has a spread

Each result ships with a bootstrap confidence interval and significance of differences. You know whether the gap between variants A and B is real or just noise.

Sycophancy correction

We measure over-agreement

Synthetic respondents tend to be systematically too positive. Senthiq measures this error and actively corrects it — results reflect critical voices too.

Calibration

Accuracy verified against real data

Upload real campaign or survey results and Senthiq measures how far the simulations deviate from them. Accuracy is not a promise — it's a metric.

Deterministic panel

Diversity from the sampler, not from chance

Panel composition comes from a deterministic sampler with a stored seed. The same brief means a reproducible panel — no hidden lottery inside the model.

Confidence scoring

Certainty on every insight

Every result carries a confidence score derived from answer consistency, calibration quality and domain coverage. Below the threshold, we recommend real-world validation outright.

Limits — stated openly

For entirely new, unprecedented products confidence drops — comparable data is missing and Senthiq admits it in the confidence score.

Simulation does not replace real research for critical decisions — it helps you target it where it delivers the most value.

Accuracy depends on the quality of the audience brief and calibration data. A vague brief means a wider interval, not false certainty.

See the methodology in action

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